A second set of 1,000 new members of StampWants has been added, since I joined 10-26-07. This time it required just 21 days, compared to a full month of 31 days after I joined. Perhaps those saying it's the C3a raffle that's drawing people are right. I hope the greater growth can be, at least partially, because of StampWants advertising and also because buyers and sellers learn of SW existence in proportion to the numbers who successfully use SW. This latter effect might be expected to be approximated by "exponential" growth, so the number of members grows by 5% per month, for example. Hence, with 18,707 members then next month .05 x 18,707 = 935 members would be added. It's just a math model, but it might prove to be correct. Of course, there is an "escape velocity" matter facing every business, and perhaps we've reached it now. If this is the case exponential growth is a reasonable expectation, but the proper rate to fit the next year remains to be seen.
The new feature permitting review of sales in the past 30 days, and also auctions closed in the last 30 days (including unsold lots), is really an important addition. Especially for the novice seller real live prices are involved, when viewing history. The Advanced Search permits viewing history, whereas the search that was here before permits viewing prices obtained during current auctions and also prices set in SW Stores. We realize prices in Stores can be the product of wishful thinking, but historic prices actually happened. Certainly many prices in Stores are entirely reasonable, not to be confused with wishful thinking, but that's what makes it interesting! Then too, there is much to be said for sellers having all there better stamps in their Store, though priced somewhat high. After all, lightning might strike. Then too, if a seller has all his best stamps on display, he can show his banker and perhaps arrange to finance the purchase of a hot dog, or two!
Happily the weekend had many lots closing with a sale, so we're above 1,000 stamps sold per day for the month of December. As of Friday it looked like a Christmas slump was about to set in, which is traditional with stamps. Personally I'm guessing we end December with less than 1,000 stamps/day sold... If we beat that, then expect January to show 1,500 stamps/day; just a SWAG (Sophisticated Wild-Axx-Guess), but wouldn't it be nice?
Speaking of guesses, I suppose I'm just as entitled as the next one to make a few. My guess/hope, as to number of members, is 19,200 by 12-31; 20,700 by 1-31; 22,500 by 2-29; 25,500 by 3-31; 28,500 by 4-30; 30,500 by 5-31 and 32,000 by 6-30. As an overall guess I'll say we double to 37,400 by summer's end. Stamp sale guesses (isn't this fun; I know it is for me!): December 950 stamps sold/day; Jan 1,500/day; Feb 2,000/day; March 3,000/day; April 3,300/day; May 2,800/day; and June 2,300/day. Can I defend any of this? Only in the most sweeping of terms... Want to publish your own guesses? It's a free country; go for it!